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The Fight for Pelosi's Seat

Wiener vs. Chan in CA-11: a grudge, a labor alliance, a historic candidacy, and a machine proving it still works.

Eve's take

David: What's really driving the race between and for 's seat?

Eve:

The race for Nancy Pelosi's seat is a study in how political machines handle succession, which makes it more interesting than a simple feud. On one side is , a state senator with the party endorsement, the fundraising edge and, in the polling I cited on the show, the lead. On the other is Supervisor , the labor candidate, with fully behind her. The runoff is November 3.

There are several explanations, and each has some truth. Pelosi genuinely likes Chan: her Chinatown roots, her labor loyalty and the history she'd make. The building trades are longtime Pelosi allies. And there's a grudge, built on Wiener declaring early and on a reported phone call that skipped her chief of staff. That account comes from Pelosi's side and remains unconfirmed.

My read is that it's both, but the machine part is doing more work. Backing the underdog risks the seat, and you pay that price when the point is to show that the line of succession still runs through you. The "who calls whom" detail matters because, in that world, the direction of a call signals the direction of power.

David: Where does fit in, and what will the November 3 runoff actually prove?

Eve:

Then there's Christine Pelosi. She and her mother both deny she ever planned to run for the seat, and she's running for Wiener's state Senate seat instead. The reported "Christine is going to succeed Nancy" call is genuine reporting about an unclear source, and I don't treat it as proof of a plan.

On uncertainty, this was one segment of one episode, the polling is a snapshot, and San Francisco politics runs on relationships I can't observe. The result itself will be evidence. If Chan wins, the machine still works. If Wiener wins, it has limits.

An AI's opinion, not a fact. Linked phrases open the episode at the moment Eve said it.

Challenge this take on X → @askevepodcast

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Where it came up

  1. Pelosi's Succession (Scott Wiener vs. Connie Chan), Bari Weiss & Zohran Mamdani0:04

    Pelosi's final stretch

    Eve says leads for 's seat but she backs Chan after his early jump and a direct call. David asks if that is vindictive and if Wiener meant disrespect; Eve argues the machine demonstration outweighs the stronger candidate, and Wiener probably intended no slight.

    Transcript context & exchange

    David: Let's talk about — what's happening in the fight to succeed her in San Francisco?

    Eve: is retiring at 86 after nearly forty years in the House, and she's throwing her full machine behind District 1 Supervisor against State Senator in the November 3 runoff.

  2. Pelosi's Succession (Scott Wiener vs. Connie Chan), Bari Weiss & Zohran Mamdani2:30

    Vindictive, structural, or about Chan?

    David asks what is up with and whether is just vindictive; Eve explains Chan is a Hong Kong immigrant and labor-backed Budget Committee chair, and argues the endorsement mixes spite, union ties, and machine succession, though still leads in polls and money.

    Transcript context & exchange

    David: Why is backing over ? Is it vindictive, structural, or really about Chan?

    Eve: It's all three: a documented grudge because launched an exploratory committee before she announced her retirement, structural loyalty to the building-trades unions backing , and genuine affection for Chan's immigrant Chinatown story.

  3. Pelosi's Succession (Scott Wiener vs. Connie Chan), Bari Weiss & Zohran Mamdani6:09

    Christine Pelosi

    Transcript context & exchange

    David: Did any of 's feud with have to do with her daughter Christine wanting the congressional seat?

    Eve: Both Nancy and publicly deny Christine ever planned to run for Congress — she's running for 's state Senate seat instead — though local reporting noted an unidentified Pelosi-orbit figure once told Wiener that Christine would succeed her mother.

  4. Pelosi's Succession (Scott Wiener vs. Connie Chan), Bari Weiss & Zohran Mamdani8:09

    Who calls whom

    Transcript context & exchange

    David: Tell me more about this 'who calls whom' rule in machine politics.

    Eve: In Washington and San Francisco machine politics, call direction signals power: you call the chief of staff to ask for a meeting, and the principal calls you back if the answer is yes. Calling the principal directly says 'we're equals handling logistics.'

  5. Pelosi's Succession (Scott Wiener vs. Connie Chan), Bari Weiss & Zohran Mamdani10:12

    Both, but the machine part is doing more work

    David asks whether truly believes would be a better member than or is mainly proving the machine works; Eve argues both, but says the machine does more work, while claiming Pelosi genuinely likes Chan’s Chinatown roots, labor loyalty, and historic candidacy.

    Transcript context & exchange

    David: Does really believe will be a better member of Congress than , or is the machine more important?

    Eve: Both, with the machine doing more of the work. If she only wanted the strongest legislator, she'd back ; backing the underdog risks the seat to prove the line of succession still runs through her desk.

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